High Emission Scenario Substantially Damages China's Photovoltaic Potential

Quantifying future changes in solar photovoltaic (PV) potential is of great significance for energy planning and policy making to achieve carbon neutrality. To constrain the uncertainties applying directly Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) projections such quantification, we construct performance-weighted CMIP6 irradiance air temperature data, then assess China's PV accompanying economic benefits under three typical climate change scenarios. We find that high emission scenario will substantially damage potential, resulting a reduction 314 TWh/year electricity generation by planned installed capacity 2100, with corresponding loss US $25 billion/year. However, low enhance yielding an additional 226 bonus $18 billion/year 2100. commitment neutrality lead low-carbon emissions, which brings rewards its industry.